Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000098 0.000109 0.000120 0.000133 0.000148 0.000163 0.000181
2025-12-14 0.000083 0.000097 0.000114 0.000134 0.000157 0.000184 0.000218
2025-12-21 0.000072 0.000088 0.000108 0.000133 0.000165 0.000203 0.000254
2025-12-28 0.000062 0.000080 0.000102 0.000132 0.000171 0.000220 0.000288
2026-01-04 0.000056 0.000075 0.000100 0.000134 0.000180 0.000242 0.000331
2026-01-11 0.000051 0.000070 0.000096 0.000134 0.000187 0.000261 0.000371
2026-01-18 0.000046 0.000065 0.000093 0.000133 0.000193 0.000278 0.000410
2026-01-25 0.000042 0.000061 0.000089 0.000133 0.000198 0.000295 0.000450
2026-02-01 0.000039 0.000058 0.000087 0.000132 0.000204 0.000312 0.000492
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000054 0.000083 0.000130 0.000206 0.000325 0.000528
2026-02-15 0.000033 0.000052 0.000081 0.000130 0.000210 0.000340 0.000569
2026-02-22 0.000030 0.000049 0.000079 0.000130 0.000216 0.000358 0.000616
2026-03-01 0.000028 0.000047 0.000076 0.000128 0.000219 0.000373 0.000660
2026-03-08 0.000027 0.000045 0.000075 0.000130 0.000227 0.000397 0.000723
2026-03-15 0.000025 0.000043 0.000074 0.000130 0.000233 0.000418 0.000782
2026-03-22 0.000023 0.000041 0.000072 0.000129 0.000237 0.000434 0.000835
2026-03-29 0.000022 0.000040 0.000071 0.000131 0.000246 0.000462 0.000911
2026-04-05 0.000021 0.000038 0.000070 0.000131 0.000252 0.000484 0.000979
2026-04-12 0.000020 0.000037 0.000068 0.000130 0.000256 0.000502 0.001042
2026-04-19 0.000019 0.000035 0.000066 0.000130 0.000260 0.000522 0.001108
2026-04-26 0.000018 0.000034 0.000065 0.000130 0.000265 0.000543 0.001181
2026-05-03 0.000017 0.000032 0.000063 0.000128 0.000266 0.000556 0.001236
2026-05-10 0.000016 0.000031 0.000062 0.000127 0.000270 0.000575 0.001306